It's time to realign your investment portfolio
In last few years have seen India's GDP growth slowing down from 8.3% in FY
17 to 4.2% in FY 20. Inflation targeting has largely happen due monetary policy
intervention and creating excess liquidity. This scenario has changed the
returns of the investors. We entered FY 21 with a pandemic and a lockdown that
has slowed down the economy.
Review and relook
Post pandemic investment requires individuals to undertake a holistic
review of their financial portfolio. Investment decisions are getting complex
as generating lower double digit returns is the first big challenge and hence
the suggested option is to identify a trustworthy and knowledgeable wealth
advisor whose interests are aligned to yours.
The most fundamental and primary task is to review protection risk
through insurance plans, both life and health. An adequate cover basis some
logical assumptions of future needs are to be considered while finalizing the
sum assured.
Risk adjusted returns are definitely hard to come by and hence preference
of the investment is critical int he fixed income investments. The general
preference is AAA or sovereign bonds or
1-3 years good quality corporate bonds due to safety and liquidity
consideration, but given the improved situation in the economy, good quality AA
corporate bonds also seem to be finding place in investment portfolio.
Market linked debenture (MLD) is another attractive option due to tax
efficiency of the investment. With the introduction of REITs and INVITs as part
of fixed income investment, there is an additional option in the fixed income
plus product as an emerging opportunity. Some allocation to gold is also
recommended as global risk elevates and it gives diversification to the
investment portfolio, although gold has run its course in last 12 months. For
existing mutual fund investors, they may have to study the underlying portfolio
and realign the changed objective as we are moving into economic recovery.
Remaining invested into a good quality large cap and mid cap mutual fund scheme
could be a better option than small caps. The direct option on investment into
funds gives additional delta to the returns.
Reallocate
Home loan rates at the lowest (well below 7%), and falling home prices have
ensured better affordability to home buyers. This is the most opportune time
to look for a house which is complete or nearing completion, or where the
occupancy certificate has been received. One can expect a meaty price-value gap
deal in the market place where development or execution's risk is minimal. Many investors
invest in commercial or high street properties connected to mix development
use. Due to the pandemic and developers liquidity requirements, distress value
opportunities exist in growth corridors. Where after a couple of ears, these
properties could be valuable income yielding properties. The other best
financial option is to invest in a real estate fund managed by a manager with a
great track record who is investing in residential/ mix use project with
preferred or protected returns.
As equity markets are resilient an demos of the losses of March 2020 are
regained, it is worthwhile to look at allocation and selection of those
industries and companies where the impact is the least or at those which
benefitted the most. It is not an easy answer; hence with the help of an expert
advisor or investment manager one should realign the investment portfolio
towards good quality management with consistently predictable growth companies
at enough margin of safety.
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