Humans are creatures of emotion. As much as emotions make us more human, they may also cloud our judgment at crucial junctures; to our utter detriment. This is particularly true in the world of investing. Investment performance is not a function of just risk and return. The investor, nay, his temperament, is an equally important input to the final investment outcome. So much so, that legendary investor Warren Buffet once quipped: The chief enemy of the investor is the investor himself!
We list some key behavioral pitfalls every invest should guard against:
Loss Aversion
Out grief at losing something is far greater than our happiness at getting the same thing. A loss of Rs. 10,000 hurts more than a goin of Rs. 10,000 make us happy. Insurance companies always knew this and therefore sell by evoking images of possible losses. Loss aversion kicks right in during bear markets. Investor tend to panic and sell otherwise solid stocks when these are falling sharply. Loss aversion also manifests itself in holding onto confirmed losers hoping for a rebound. Often, realization dawns much later that these were bad calls. If only one could hold one's nerves and not sell unduly for fear of losses! Being aware of loss aversion bias may help you take a more objective buy/sell/hold decision.
Confirmation bias
Who doesn't like to be told how great one's decision was or how clear one is to have invested in XYZ. We feel better when our choices are corroborated by others. But we all do that, I know you say YES, and that's no a problem. However, problems arises when we turn a blind eyes to counterpoints in our quest for approval.
Sample this: You have invested in a mutual fund scheme after weeks of careful research. They you come across solid arguments and facts cast reasonable doubt on the scheme's potential. But you ignore, and instead, hit the internet looking for pages eulogizing the scheme. This behavior is akin to seeking evidence after the conclusion has been made; and may prove a fatal investment folly. Remember we all make investment misjudgments. Keep an open mind about your decisions and do not identify yourself with your investments. Shun your ego as it misleads you into believing you cannot go wrong. Course correct if necessary.
Regency Bias
Studies have shown that in may instances, the entry/exit decision of investor are determined by relatively recent outperformance/underperformance. We tend to project the most recent past into the future. This bias may be particularly damaging if you exit quality stocks in volatile times just because they fell recently. To immunize yourself front eh consequences of this bias, hold back and try looking at the big picture whenever recent trends make you edgy or excited. Avoid checking your portfolio every so often. Refer back to why you had selected an investment and whether the logic still holds.
The demons in our mind are may more - Overconfidence, availability heuristic, mental accounting, anchoring bias, etc. Being mindful of these behavioral patterns is the first step towards keeping you portfolio out of harms way. Unfortunately, no one else knows you better than yourself. But you can definitely help yourself by acknowledging which biases you are predisposed to. After all, the investor is his friend too, isn't it?













