Retail investors often try to time the market which is not the optimal strategy most of times. Investor should map their equity allocation to their long term financial goals and stagger their investments to achieve the best results from equity.
The
sharp rise in markets and overall improvement in the economic environment has
led to investors putting more money in equity mutual funds. The mutual fund
industry has also gone into overdrive and has been launching a slew of NFO.
However, it is best to advise caution to the retail investors. With valuations
at a premium, especially in the midcap and the small cap side, there is a
significant possibility of new investors facing disappointment (in terms of
returns) in the near term and pull out money at the wrong time, out of fear; if
the markets correct sharply. Over the long term, as the understanding of equity
as a long term asset class (and not a short term speculative avenue) increases,
flows to the equity mutual funds should improve structurally.
Many
conservative investors are opting for hybrid funds now to compensate for lower
returns in fixed deposits, as well as to get a flavor of equities. We may see
this trend continue going forward. Even balanced hybrid fund and dynamic asset
allocation funds tend to be equity biased as and when they try to generate
better returns and alpha. While achieving these objectives, these hybrid funds
invariably end up taking more risk, which may not always match the risk profile
of conservative investors. If these preferred hybrid fund categories are not
able to provide downside protection through the stock market volatility as
expected, conservative investors may not be comfortable staying on.
Floating rate bonds
are a good investment choice in a rising interest rate environment. As market
interest rates move up, coupon rates on these bonds reset to higher levels.
However, there is limited stock of quality floater securities available in the
Indian debt market and secondary market liquidity is much desired in this
segment. So, it would be extremely difficult with an increase in the AUM size
in this narrowly focused category to not compromise on the portfolio quality.
Investors often buy
different equity mutual funds to diversify but inadvertently buy funds with
similar strategies and portfolios. Diversification in the mutual fund portfolio
needs to be backed by proper research. Ideally, 15% allocation should be
towards a well-managed value fund, 15% to an ESG focused equity fund and then a
layer of 5-6 equity mutual funds diversified across caps and styles.
Value funds aim to
ignore short term market movements and wait patiently for value to emerge as it
allows them to generate steady returns over other equity mutual funds is that
the companies that are strong on ESG have relatively better long term financial
prospects. Whereas, an equity fund-of-funds is a prudent investments option to
build the major portion of your equity portfolio is just by investing in one
fund. This fund gives investors exposure to funds that are actively managed and
lets them rely on the fund manager’s capability to take advantage of the
correction and build a robust portfolio.
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